Recently an economic forum co-sponsored by NetEase Research
Bureau, Netease Finance Think Tank, BRICS Think Tank CBGG, Jufeng Finance,
Qingquan Research Institute gave a report about "China Economic Report · 5G
Power to Change the World." Many people attended the meeting in Beijing and debated in depth the
development and future of 5G like Wei Hua, Vice President of Beijing Huasheng
Tiancheng Technology Co., Ltd., Guo Yiming and many more.
In 2020, the eMBB (Enhanced Mobile Broadband) scenario will
be commercialized said by Wu Chao director of the China Securities Investment
Research Institute. There will be some new innovations like car networking, autonomous
driving, and the cloud computing. The penetration rate of the entire 5G users
will reach 30%, after 2023 said by Wu Chao. As the current progress suggests
that the faster ones should be smart cities, smart homes, high-definition video
including VR/AR, and car networking. There was a great speech in this meeting
“Dear friends, good afternoon, I am very happy to have the
opportunity to share with you. It is indeed a hot topic to discuss 5G at the
moment. Everyone is very concerned. The role researcher has been studying for a
long time, and suddenly it is a good side to find that so many people are
concerned about this matter overnight. On the downside, now the challenge
itself and the opportunity coexist, standing at today's time to talk about two
parts. First, the 5G industry has brought about some technological changes in
the entire industry. Second, what challenges and opportunities are there for
us.
I often talk about this picture on many occasions. The
technical aspects have just been elaborated. I won't go into details. We have
had many reports on 5G technical solutions and so on. The industry has shared
with you from three angles. Especially after Huawei's business, we talked about
5G for a long time. How the industry has recently seen or influenced the whole
industry. The history of mobile communication in the world has been from 1G,
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G for just 50 years, the era of big brothers in the 1980s, the 2G
era in the 1990s, the 3G era in 2000, and of course China's 3G was only
commercialized in 2009, but In fact, the core node of the global 3G network
commercial is around 2000, such as Japan's commercial 3G in 2001. In 2010, 4G
commercial, our China commercial 4G time in 2013, slightly later than the
world, but much smaller than the 3G era. This year is the first year of 5G,
just a decade of intergenerational generation, this is the cycle of global
mobile communication technology development. So today we see all aspects of
investment in communications. This is not driven by the simple will of the
simple government. More is driven by the underlying technology. It is a very
clear communication industry cycle. Communication is the most cyclical in the
TMT industry. In the first generation, the electronics industry is shorter than
four or five years. You can watch the iterations of mobile phones and so on.
You can look at 3G. If 2009 is the commercial 3G node in
China, in fact, the time when the iPhone or smartphone business is globalized
faster in 2006 and 2007, the first generation of mobile phones came out in
2007, and there is a terminal change first. The electronics industry's
innovation, then the communications industry, the underlying technology
iteration of the pipeline, and then gave birth to the golden age of mobile
application outbreaks close to five years after 2010, such as mobile games, big
data, cloud computing and so on. Although 5G is a very hot thing today, if you
look back at the history of communication development in the past, it is
actually a long cycle. Standing today, regardless of Sino-US competition or our
investment and enthusiasm for 5G, it is actually a long time, this year is just
the first year. Another point, the technical progress of the cloud management,
the law is very clear. These two hard-innovated things, especially in the field
of science and technology, are very much concerned by everyone, because the
technology cycle has reached another round of hard innovation. The next step in
business model innovation will come out, and 5G applications will change a lot
after 2020 or after the penetration of the entire user.”
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